Weather StoryAlmanac, microseasons, and the day's weather story.

Mesa, Arizona Weather

The dry breath stills. Day 88 of spring. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Mesa weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Mesa, AZ
Monday, June 15 at 2:28 PM
104
°
Clear
Feels like
109°
Humidity
22%
Wind
5 mph
Sunrise
10:16 PM
Sunset
12:38 PM
Mesa, AZ
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastMesa, AZ: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 81 to 108 degrees Fahrenheit.
L 81°H 108°
Mesa, AZ
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jun 15
    Overcast
    11%
    —
    106°85°—
  2. Tuesday
    Jun 16
    Overcast
    —
    —
    109°81°+3°
  3. Wednesday
    Jun 17
    Light Drizzle
    —
    —
    106°83°-3°
  4. Thursday
    Jun 18
    Clear
    —
    —
    105°87°-1°
  5. Friday
    Jun 19
    Clear
    —
    —
    104°86°-1°
  6. Saturday
    Jun 20
    Clear
    —
    —
    104°84°0°
  7. Sunday
    Jun 21
    Clear
    —
    —
    100°82°-4°
Mesa, AZ
Next 24 hours · Hot now
HOT 90°75°95°115°12p6p12a6anow 104°high 108°low 81°
Mesa, AZ
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
W
272° · backing 24°
Direction
W
272°
Sustained
5
mph
Gust
7
mph
Peak 24h
27
avg 7
Beaufort · 2 · LIGHT BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 7 · pk 27 @ 4:00a
01020MPHB1B2B3B4B5-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 1611SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
A whisper of wind — leaves barely shift on the trees.
Mesa, AZ
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
965.2
-2.9 mb in 3h · falling rapidly · 28.50 inHg
Now
965.2
mb
3h
-2.9
mb
12h
-0.4
mb
24h
+1.0
mb
Regime · STORM
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 963–969
955960965970975-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW968.5962.6965.4
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Deep low still deepening — rough seas, strong wind, persistent rain.
Mesa, AZ
Air quality
41
AQI
Good
↓-5 in 6h

AQI 41 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI down 5 over the last 6 hours (gradual decline). PM2.5 at 9.6 µg/m³, PM10 at 44.6 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

PM 2.5DRIVERGood
9.6μg/m³
PM 10Good
45μg/m³
NO₂Good
1μg/m³
OzoneUnhealthy SG
103μg/m³
UV IndexVery high
8.9

What's driving it

Ozone × UV × Sky

Ozone at AQI 49 now. With UV 8.9 peaking around 1 PM under clear skies, surface ozone likely climbs to AQI 58 around 1 PM.

Present
AQI 49
UV peak
8.9 at 1 PM
Sky at peak
clear
Projected peak
AQI 58

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 9.6 µg/m³, PM10 at 44.6 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

PM2.5/PM10
0.22
Wind
light
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
background

Trends

Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.

Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).

7-DAY AQI TREND50100MONTUEWEDTHUFRISATSUNMON7-DAY PM2.5 TREND · μg/m³310
Mesa, AZ
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
0%
CLEAR
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Visibility
150.0mi
UNLIMITED
185 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
21:28 UTC · Mesa, AZ · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
21:28 UTC · Mesa, AZ · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Mesa, AZ
Satellite · infrared · animated
Mesa, AZ
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Mesa, AZ
Almanac · Monday, June 15
A summer fog for fair, a winter fog for rain.
Civil dawn
4:49 AM
Sunrise
10:16 PM
Daylight
14h 22m
Sunset
12:38 PM
Civil dusk
8:08 PM
Planting note
Stake and prune tomato suckers. Watch for squash vine borers.
Mesa, AZ
The moon
New Moon
1% illuminated
Moonrise
5:30 AM
Moonset
7:52 PM
In sign
♋︎ Cancer
Mesa, AZ
Microseason
Jun 11–15

The dry breath stills

insect
Jan 145% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Mesa at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 22°F above the seasonal normal for this latitude
  • Last frost: March 7 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jun 11–15
  • Planting window: Stake and prune tomato suckers. Watch for squash vine borers.

16-Day Forecast — Mesa

  1. Mon106°85°11%
  2. Tue109°81°3%
  3. Wed106°83°1%
  4. Thu105°87°0%
  5. Fri104°86°0%
  6. Sat104°84°0%
  7. Sun100°82°0%
  8. Mon101°83°1%
  9. Tue104°85°0%
  10. Wed111°90°1%
  11. Thu111°94°2%
  12. Fri108°89°6%
  13. Sat108°90°19%
  14. Sun110°93°21%
  15. Mon113°93°20%
  16. Tue114°95°11%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Live wind & temperature near Mesa

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of June 15, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Mesa

SPC has placed Mesa in the General Thunderstorms category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
  • TOMORROWTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
  • DAY 3NONENo severe risk

Thunderstorms possible. Not severe, but capable of producing lightning and brief heavy rain.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

January 1–5: Desert awakens in still light.January 6–10: Moisture lingers beneath the crust.January 11–15: First warmth breaks the shallow freeze.January 16–20: Quail begin their territorial chorus.January 21–25: Buds swell beneath the hard sun.January 26–31: Winter reaches its brightest point.February 1–5: Gold floods the bajada.February 6–10: Wildflower bloom spreads upslope.February 11–15: Hummingbirds stake territory claims.February 16–20: Sonoran wildflowers reach peak diversity.February 21–25: Rain clouds gather on the horizon.February 26–28: Late winter warmth intensifies.March 1–5: Green reaches from the roots upward.March 6–10: Desert creatures wake fully from dormancy.March 11–15: Saguaro flowers crown the desert.March 16–20: Caterpillars turn to wings.March 21–25: Equinox ignites the blooms.March 26–31: Saguaro crowns with flowers.April 1–5: Pre-monsoon heat begins.April 6–10: Brittlebush carpets the desert floor.April 11–15: Heat dome settles in hard.April 16–20: Saguaro fruit splits open red.April 21–25: Monsoon moisture approaches.April 26–30: Last frost recedes to memory.May 1–5: Monsoon signal fires light skies.May 6–10: First haboobs roll across.May 11–15: Heat reaches extremes daily.May 16–20: Saguaro crowns open white.May 21–25: Summer arrives in dust and lightning.May 26–31: Voices rise in monsoon dark.June 1–5: Heat hardens the dust.June 6–10: Monsoon shadows gather.June 11–15: The dry breath stills.June 16–20: The first anvil tops.June 21–25: Haboob rises from the basin.June 26–30: Monsoon doors creak open.July 1–5: The monsoon settles in.July 6–10: Verdant eruption.July 11–15: The lightning oracle speaks.July 16–20: Young raptors claim the thermal.July 21–25: Humidity weight.July 26–31: Storm chambers fruit.August 1–5: The monsoon exhales.August 6–10: The long drought renews.August 11–15: Currents turn cool and distant.August 16–20: Cicada chorus deepens.August 21–25: Monsoon's final breath.August 26–31: Heat begins to relent.September 1–5: Harvest moon over stone.September 6–10: Dew returns to the flats.September 11–15: Raptors ride the thermals.September 16–20: Equinox evening shadow.September 21–25: Thunder finally silent.September 26–30: Insects burrow deep.October 1–5: Desert dries to deep gold.October 6–10: Sandhill cranes return.October 11–15: Brittle beauty blooms.October 16–20: Frost paints stones white.October 21–25: First killing frost falls.October 26–31: Winter rains whisper in.November 1–5: Mesquite leaves turn gold.November 6–10: Ocotillo stands sentinel.November 11–15: First frost traces ridges.November 16–20: Saguaro stands naked.November 21–25: Pacific storms break the drought.November 26–30: North wind strips the way.December 1–5: Desert deepens into winter.December 6–10: True winter arrives.December 11–15: The shortest day looms.December 16–20: Solstice stillness settles.December 21–25: The sun turns north.December 26–31: Year's end in silence.🌱February 14 — First skunk-cabbage spathes thaw their way up☀️March 20 — Spring equinox — day and night balance🌸April 5 — Cherry blossoms peak in the parks🐦May 10 — Warbler migration peaks along the coast✨May 25 — First fireflies scout the meadows at dusk🌞June 21 — Summer solstice — longest day🦗July 25 — Peak cicada chorus in the afternoons🌊August 18 — Warmest sea-surface temperatures of the year🍂September 22 — Autumn equinox — the slow turn❄️October 25 — First widespread frost in the suburbs🍁November 10 — Peak leaf color across the Hudson Valley🌙December 21 — Winter solstice — longest night

Microseason · June 11–15

The dry breath stills

Wind drops to nothing. The desert holds its breath. Afternoon dew points climb. Saguaro shadows grow softer as haze thickens on the horizon.

Day 166 of 365 · Wedge 33 of 72

The solar year drawn as a wheel of 72 five-day windows. Each wedge is one microseason; the four colored arcs mark winter, spring, summer, and autumn; the small icons sit at notable phenological events. The crimson pointer creeps clockwise as the year turns.

Planting calendar

MonthPlantHarvest
January——
February——
Marchlettuce, peas, spinach, radishes—
Aprillettuce, peas, spinach, radishes, tomatoes, peppers, beans, squash—
Maytomatoes, peppers, beans, squashlettuce, peas, radishes
Junetomatoes, peppers, beans, squashlettuce, peas, radishes
July—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
August—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
September—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
Octoberfall brassicas, garlic (overwinter), carrotswinter squash, tomatoes (last)
Novemberfall brassicas, garlic (overwinter), carrots—
December——

A year in weather

The year in Mesa tops out in July (~92°F) and dips lowest in December (~53°F), with February wettest at 1.5 inches and June driest at 0.1 inches.

MonthMean tempPrecipRainy days
January54°1.4″2
February56°1.5″3
March62°1.3″1
April69°0.4″1
May78°0.2″1
June87°0.1″0
July92°1.2″2
August92°1.3″3
September86°1.1″2
October74°0.6″1
November62°0.8″1
December53°1.1″3

Regional context

Per NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 normals, Mesa runs from a 54°F January mean to 92°F in July, a 38°F seasonal spread, with near 10.8 inches of precipitation across about 20 wet days.

Mesa's moisture rides winter storm tracks: February brings 1.5 inches over 2.6 wet days, while June sees only 0.1 inches across 0.2 days in the dry warm season. That groups Mesa with places like Gilbert, AZ, Apache Junction, AZ and Chandler, AZ on the same cool-season storm track.

With a coldest-month mean of 53°F, Mesa stays mostly frost-free and grows year-round. The July peak near 92°F is Mesa's real limit, pushing cool-season vegetables to spring and fall. Mesa's coastal lots stay 4-7°F milder overnight than Mesa's inland parcels.

Similar climates: Gilbert, AZ, Apache Junction, AZ, Chandler, AZ, Queen Creek, AZ, Tempe, AZ.

Naturalist notes

Palo verde trees burst into brilliant yellow blooms across Mesa during late April and early May.

Gambel's quail begin their distinctive three-note calls at dawn throughout May as breeding season intensifies.

Frequently asked

When does it freeze in Mesa?
Frost typically leaves Mesa by mid-March and returns to Mesa near mid-December.
What is the rainy season in Mesa?
Rainfall in Mesa peaks in February near 1.5 inches, out of about 11 inches annually.
What is the warmest month in Mesa?
Mesa peaks in July, when the mean runs near 92°F.
What is the coldest month in Mesa?
December is Mesa's coldest month, averaging about 53°F.
When can I start a vegetable garden in Mesa?
Around mid-March, start frost-hardy crops in Mesa; tomatoes and basil belong a fortnight later.
How many rainy days does Mesa get?
Expect roughly 20 wet days a year in Mesa.
What hardiness zone is Mesa?
With December around 53°F, Mesa's zone reflects that minimum — the USDA ZIP map confirms Mesa's band.
What is the 10-day forecast for Mesa?
Mesa's extended outlook — daily high and low temperatures and precipitation chances for each upcoming day — is in the daily forecast above.
Will it rain this week in Mesa?
See this week's day-by-day rain chances for Mesa in the daily forecast above, and the next 24 hours in the hourly chart.
What is the weather like right now in Mesa?
Current conditions for Mesa and the next 24 hours — temperature, precipitation chance, and wind by the hour — are in the hourly forecast chart above.
How often is the Mesa forecast updated?
The Mesa forecast on this page is built from Open-Meteo weather-model data and refreshes regularly through the day.
When are sunrise and sunset in Mesa?
Day length in Mesa peaks around the June solstice — earliest sunrise and latest sunset — and is shortest near the December solstice.
How accurate is the weather forecast for Mesa?
The next few days in Mesa's forecast are the most reliable; accuracy declines beyond about a week as weather-model uncertainty grows.

Climate

Set in a hot desert zone, Mesa, Arizona swings from 54°F in the heart of winter to 92°F at midsummer — a 38°F arc.

Rain and snow bring Mesa roughly 11 inches a year across approximately 20 measurable-precipitation days.

Mesa's 38°F range, set by its 33.4°N position, drives frost timing and what thrives in Mesa.

All cities in Arizona →

Phoenix, AZ weather →

ZIP codes in Mesa

  • 85208
  • 85209
  • 85201
  • 85202
  • 85203
  • 85204
  • 85205
  • 85206
  • 85207
  • 85215
  • 85213
  • 85212
  • 85210
  • 85211
  • 85214
  • 85216
  • 85274
  • 85275
  • 85277

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.