Modesto, California Weather

Ceanothus blooms again. Day 93 of summer. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Modesto weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Modesto, CA
Monday, September 21 at 1:00 AM
62
°
Clear
Feels like
61°
Humidity
73%
Wind
4 mph
Sunrise
6:51 AM
Sunset
7:02 PM

Conditions updated 1:00 AM PDT · Open-Meteo

Modesto, CA
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastModesto, CA: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 55 to 86 degrees Fahrenheit.
L 55°H 86°
Modesto, CA
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Sep 21
    Clear
    86°55°
  2. Tuesday
    Sep 22
    Mostly Clear
    87°54°+1°
  3. Wednesday
    Sep 23
    Overcast
    97°61°+10°
  4. Thursday
    Sep 24
    Overcast
    99°66°+2°
  5. Friday
    Sep 25
    Overcast
    91°62°-8°
  6. Saturday
    Sep 26
    Overcast
    95°63°+4°
  7. Sunday
    Sep 27
    Overcast
    93°61°-2°
Modesto, CA
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
NNE
012° · veering 29°
Direction
NNE
012°
Sustained
4
mph
Gust
13
mph
Peak 24h
16
avg 6 mph
Beaufort · 2 · LIGHT BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 6 mph · pk 16 mph @ 9:00p
01020MPHB1B2B3B4B5-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 194SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Light breeze veering 29° from the nne.
Modesto, CA
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
1011.7
+0.3 mb in 3h · steady · 29.88 inHg
Now
1011.7
mb
3h
+0.3
mb
12h
-1.2
mb
24h
-0.1
mb
Regime · CHANGE
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 10101014
9951000STORM|RAIN10051010RAIN|CHG1015CHG|FAIR10201025FAIR|DRY1030-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW1013.51010.41011.7
Air sits at the threshold — small shifts decide the day.
Air quality now AQI 57 · Moderate
Modesto, CA
Air quality
57
AQI
Moderate
0 in 6h

AQI 57 (Moderate), driven by PM2.5. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±3 points). PM2.5 at 12.4 µg/m³, PM10 at 26.6 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

PM 2.5DRIVERModerate
12.4μg/m³
PM 10Good
27μg/m³
NO₂Good
19μg/m³
OzoneGood
29μg/m³
UV IndexLow
0.0

What's driving it

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 12.4 µg/m³, PM10 at 26.6 µg/m³ — typical background levels with no transport signature.

PM2.5/PM10
0.47
Wind
calm
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
background
Modesto, CA
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
0%
CLEAR
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow

Visibility
13.3mi
UNLIMITED
35 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Modesto, CA
Almanac · Monday, September 21
September dries up ditches or breaks down bridges.
Civil dawn
6:25 AM
Sunrise
6:51 AM
Daylight
12h 11m
Sunset
7:02 PM
Civil dusk
7:32 PM
Planting note
September — plant beans, squash, fall brassicas, carrots; harvest tomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash
Modesto, CA
The moon
Waxing Gibbous
73% illuminated
Moonrise
4:33 PM
Moonset
1:38 AM
In sign
♑︎ Capricorn
Modesto, CA
Microseason
Sep 21–25

Ceanothus blooms again

weather
Jan 172% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →
All 72 microseasons on the year wheel →

Modesto at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: Today averages 71°F (high 86°F, low 55°F), about the 72°F normal for Sep 21
  • Last frost: January 31 (1991–2020 median, NOAA station 5 km away)
  • Microseason: Sep 21–25
  • Planting calendar: September — plant beans, squash, fall brassicas, carrots; harvest tomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash

15-Day Forecast — Modesto

  1. Mon86°55°2%
  2. Tue87°54°1%
  3. Wed97°61°0%
  4. Thu99°66°0%
  5. Fri91°62°1%
  6. Sat95°63°1%
  7. Sun93°61°1%
  8. Mon95°60°0%
  9. Tue100°66°3%
  10. Wed82°65°8%
  11. Thu89°63°2%
  12. Fri92°65°3%
  13. Sat84°61°6%
  14. Sun87°59°10%
  15. Mon81°65°6%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Live wind & temperature near Modesto

Interactive wind and temperature map centered on Modesto — it loads in your browser. Open the full weather map.

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of September 21, the growing season is at its peak — the first frost (around December 5) is weeks away. Fall transplants go in about 10–12 weeks before the first frost, September 12 to September 26 here. This city's planting calendar for September: plant beans, squash, fall brassicas, and carrots; harvest tomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, and winter squash.

Sun & seasons in Modesto

Modesto sits in Stanislaus County, where the year’s longest day runs 14h 46m of daylight and its shortest just 9h 33m — a swing of +5h 13m between the June and December solstices. Clocks spring forward on Sunday, March 8, 2026 and fall back on Sunday, November 1, 2026.

Los Angeles, the state’s largest city, lies about 283 miles to the SSE. The nearest town Modesto tracks is Stockton, roughly 29 miles to the NW.

Air quality in Modesto

Air quality in Modesto’s county has trended cleaner since 2020; its cleanest year on record was 2025 (median AQI 51). See the full air-quality history for Modesto.

Planting calendar

MonthPlantHarvest
Januarylettuce, peas, spinach, radishes
Februarylettuce, peas, spinach, radisheslettuce, spinach, radishes
Marchlettuce, peas, spinach, radishes
Apriltomatoes, peppers, beans, squashlettuce, peas, spinach
Maytomatoes, peppers, beans, squashgarlic
Junebeans, squashbeans, summer squash
Julybeans, squashtomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash
Augusttomatoes, peppers, beans, squashtomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash
Septemberbeans, squash, fall brassicas, carrotstomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash
Octobergarlic (overwinter)tomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash
Novembergarlic (overwinter)tomatoes, peppers, beans, summer squash, winter squash, fall brassicas, carrots
Decemberfall brassicas, carrots

A year in weather

July is Modesto's warmest stretch (~79°F) and December its coldest (~48°F); precipitation crests in January at 3.5 inches and ebbs in August to 0.0 inches.

MonthMean tempPrecip
January48°3.5
February51°3.2
March54°2.9
April60°1.4
May68°0.5
June74°0.0
July79°0.0
August78°0.0
September73°0.1
October65°0.6
November54°2.3
December48°3.1

Regional context

Similar climates Rouse, CA, Bystrom, CA, Airport, CA

Modesto's climate, from modelled 1991-2020 normals (EC_Earth3P_HR model via Open-Meteo), pairs 48°F Januarys with 79°F Julys — a 31°F swing. About 17.7 inches of precipitation falls each year.

Cool-season fronts carry Modesto's rain: January logs 3.5 inches, against August's 0.0 inches — winter does the heavy lifting in Modesto. That cool-season-wet pattern aligns Modesto with places like Rouse, CA, Bystrom, CA and Airport, CA.

Modesto's growing window opens around January 31, once Modesto's overnight lows stop freezing — sow lettuce, chard, arugula, and mustard greens. Hold Modesto's tender crops — tomatoes, peppers, basil — until 10-14 days past Modesto's last frost. It shuts near December 5, when freezes return to Modesto and tender plants need cover. Sheltered Modesto yards can escape a light frost.

Similar climates: Rouse, CA, Bystrom, CA, Airport, CA, West Modesto, CA, Parklawn, CA.

Frequently asked

When does it freeze in Modesto?
Frost typically leaves Modesto by January 31 and returns to Modesto near December 5.
What is the rainy season in Modesto?
Modesto sees its heaviest rain in January (around 3.5 inches), part of roughly 18 inches a year.
What is the warmest month in Modesto?
On average July tops the year in Modesto at about 79°F.
What is the coldest month in Modesto?
The coldest stretch in Modesto falls in December, around 48°F on average.
When can I start a vegetable garden in Modesto?
Around January 31, start frost-hardy crops in Modesto; tomatoes and basil belong a fortnight later.
What hardiness zone is Modesto?
Since December in Modesto averages 48°F, Modesto's USDA zone follows that floor — confirm it by ZIP.
What is the 10-day forecast for Modesto?
Modesto's extended outlook — daily high and low temperatures and precipitation chances for each upcoming day — is in the daily forecast above.
Will it rain this week in Modesto?
See this week's day-by-day rain chances for Modesto in the daily forecast above, and the next 24 hours in the hourly chart.
What is the weather like right now in Modesto?
Current conditions for Modesto and the next 24 hours — temperature, precipitation chance, and wind by the hour — are in the hourly forecast chart above.
How often is the Modesto forecast updated?
The Modesto forecast on this page is built from Open-Meteo weather-model data and refreshes regularly through the day.
When are sunrise and sunset in Modesto?
Today's sunrise and sunset times for Modesto are in the Almanac section above, along with civil dawn, civil dusk, and day length. Day length is longest near the summer solstice and shortest near the winter solstice.
How accurate is the weather forecast for Modesto?
The next few days in Modesto's forecast are the most reliable; accuracy declines beyond about a week as weather-model uncertainty grows.

Modesto sits at 37.6°N; its climate zone is hot-summer Mediterranean (Köppen approximation).

ZIP codes in Modesto

  • 95350
  • 95351
  • 95352
  • 95353
  • 95354
  • 95355
  • 95356
  • 95357
  • 95358
  • 95397

Climate normals: modelled 1991–2020 normals from the EC_Earth3P_HR climate model via the Open-Meteo Climate API, not station observations. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.