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Carrollwood, Florida Weather

Sun climbs to its northern throne. Day 88 of spring. Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Carrollwood weather forecast — hour by hour, 7-day outlook, NOAA radar

Carrollwood, FL
Monday, June 15 at 10:29 AM
88
°
Mostly Clear
Feels like
94°
Humidity
60%
Wind
10 mph
Sunrise
2:33 AM
Sunset
4:27 PM
Carrollwood, FL
Hour by hour · 24h
24-Hour ForecastCarrollwood, FL: 24-hour forecast. Temperatures range from 75 to 92 degrees Fahrenheit.
L 75°H 92°
Carrollwood, FL
7-day forecast
  1. Today
    Jun 15
    Thunderstorm
    —
    —
    92°77°—
  2. Tuesday
    Jun 16
    Thunderstorm
    29%
    —
    93°75°+1°
  3. Wednesday
    Jun 17
    Overcast
    21%
    —
    93°80°0°
  4. Thursday
    Jun 18
    Thunderstorm
    15%
    —
    95°80°+2°
  5. Friday
    Jun 19
    T-storm w/ Hail
    18%
    —
    94°81°-1°
  6. Saturday
    Jun 20
    Thunderstorm
    20%
    —
    93°80°-1°
  7. Sunday
    Jun 21
    Overcast
    19%
    —
    94°79°+1°
Carrollwood, FL
Next 24 hours · Warm now
HOT 90°72°84°96°6a12p6p12anow 88°high 92°low 75°
Carrollwood, FL
Anemometer · 24h winds · from true
NESW
From · True
WSW
251° · backing 24°
Direction
WSW
251°
Sustained
10
mph
Gust
12
mph
Peak 24h
15
avg 6
Beaufort · 3 · GENTLE BRZ
0
CALM
<1
1
LIGHT AIR
1–3
2
LIGHT BRZ
4–7
3
GENTLE BRZ
8–12
4
MOD BRZ
13–18
5
FRESH BRZ
19–24
6
STRONG BRZ
25–31
7
NEAR GALE
32–38
24h · sust vs gust · mph
avg 6 · pk 15 @ 3:00p
01020MPHB1B2B3B4B5-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOWpk 167SUSTGUST
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Light breeze backing 24° from the wsw.
Carrollwood, FL
Barometer · 24h pressure · mb
STORMRAINCHANGEFAIRDRY9901000101010201030
Pressure · mb
1014.2
-0.1 mb in 3h · steady · 29.95 inHg
Now
1014.2
mb
3h
-0.1
mb
12h
-0.9
mb
24h
-2.2
mb
Regime · CHANGE
STORM
RAIN
CHANGE
FAIR
DRY
24h · Pressure · mb
range 1013–1016
9951000STORM|RAIN10051010RAIN|CHG1015CHG|FAIR10201025FAIR|DRY-21h-18h-15h-12h-9h-6h-3h-24hNOW1016.31013.31014.1
−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Air sits at the threshold — small shifts decide the day.
Carrollwood, FL
Air quality
27
AQI
Good
→-3 in 6h

AQI 27 (Good), driven by PM2.5. AQI flat over the last 6 hours (within ±3 points). PM2.5 at 8.0 µg/m³ (AQI 44), ratio 0.69 with 10 mph wind — characteristic of long-range haze transport rather than a local source.

OK No precautions needed for the general population; unusually sensitive individuals may consider limiting prolonged outdoor exertion.

PM 2.5DRIVERGood
8.0μg/m³
PM 10Good
12μg/m³
NO₂Good
3μg/m³
OzoneGood
46μg/m³
UV IndexModerate
4.7

What's driving it

PM × Wind × Precip

PM2.5 at 8.0 µg/m³ (AQI 44), ratio 0.69 with 10 mph wind — characteristic of long-range haze transport rather than a local source.

PM2.5/PM10
0.69
Wind
breezy
Recent rain
0h in last 6h
Pattern
transport

Trends

Seven days of AQI and PM2.5.

Hourly air-quality data from the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, charted across the past and next several days. Dashed lines mark the AQI breakpoints at 50 (Good → Moderate) and 100 (Moderate → Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups).

7-DAY AQI TREND50100MONTUEWEDTHUFRISATSUNMON7-DAY PM2.5 TREND · μg/m³300
Carrollwood, FL
Sky cover · visibility · 24h
Cloud cover
33%
MOSTLY CLEAR
100%0%−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Visibility
57.1mi
UNLIMITED
59 mi0 mi−24h−18h−12h−6hnow
Earth · GOES-19 ABI
Full Disk · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 full disk Visible · GeoColor
True-color daytime, blue/IR sandwich at night
14:29 UTC · Carrollwood, FL · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · up to 10848 px
Continental US · GOES-19 ABI
CONUS Sector · Visible · GeoColor
GOES-19 CONUS Visible · GeoColor
Daytime true-color, blue-light/IR sandwich at night
14:29 UTC · Carrollwood, FL · NOAA NESDIS / STAR · 5-min cadence · up to 10000 px
Carrollwood, FL
Satellite · infrared · animated
Carrollwood, FL
Loading IR frames…
IR · cloud-top temp© RainViewer · Carto
Carrollwood, FL
Almanac · Monday, June 15
A summer fog for fair, a winter fog for rain.
Civil dawn
6:07 AM
Sunrise
2:33 AM
Daylight
13h 54m
Sunset
4:27 PM
Civil dusk
8:55 PM
Planting note
Stake and prune tomato suckers. Watch for squash vine borers.
Carrollwood, FL
The moon
New Moon
1% illuminated
Moonrise
6:45 AM
Moonset
8:33 PM
In sign
♋︎ Cancer
Carrollwood, FL
Microseason
Jun 11–15

Sun climbs to its northern throne

insect
Jan 145% of the yearDec 31

Read this microseason across nine climate regions →

Carrollwood at a glance

  • Today vs. normal: 88°F — typical for the season
  • Last frost: February 3 (climatological average for this latitude)
  • Microseason: Jun 11–15
  • Planting window: Stake and prune tomato suckers. Watch for squash vine borers.

16-Day Forecast — Carrollwood

  1. Mon92°77°8%
  2. Tue93°75°29%
  3. Wed93°80°21%
  4. Thu95°80°15%
  5. Fri94°81°18%
  6. Sat93°80°20%
  7. Sun94°79°19%
  8. Mon94°80°26%
  9. Tue95°80°29%
  10. Wed95°80°29%
  11. Thu92°79°34%
  12. Fri95°75°29%
  13. Sat93°77°33%
  14. Sun96°76°38%
  15. Mon96°79°45%
  16. Tue92°81°35%

Forecast data from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0).

Right now in the garden

Peak growing season

As of June 15, the growing season is at its peak — frost is months away. Continue succession-planting beans and summer squash. Start fall brassicas (broccoli, cabbage, kale) from seed indoors for transplanting in late summer.

SPC Convective Outlook

Storm Prediction Center — Carrollwood

SPC has placed Carrollwood in the General Thunderstorms category for severe thunderstorms today.

  • TODAYTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
  • TOMORROWTSTMGeneral Thunderstorms
  • DAY 3TSTMGeneral Thunderstorms

Thunderstorms possible. Not severe, but capable of producing lightning and brief heavy rain.

Source: NOAA / NWS Storm Prediction Center categorical convective outlook. Outlooks are re-issued multiple times per day; this page reflects the most recent SPC polygons covering the city’s coordinates.

January 1–5: Frost quiets the live oaks.January 6–10: Still water thickens with ice.January 11–15: Springs begin to move beneath ice.January 16–20: Cardinal dawn calls grow bolder.January 21–25: Late January thaw pulses.January 26–31: Last freeze locks the land.February 1–5: February's lengthening light.February 6–10: Warming winds thaw the margin.February 11–15: Magnolia blooms break the gray.February 16–20: Mockingbirds resume the dawn chorus.February 21–25: Rain replaces the last snow.February 26–28: Mist clings to greening valleys.March 1–5: The green pulse awakens.March 6–10: Hibernators emerge to call.March 11–15: Dogwood and redbud ignite.March 16–20: Swallowtails emerge from winter silk.March 21–25: Light crowns the dogwood canopy.March 26–31: Redbud cascades over the thaw.April 1–5: Thunder announces the wet season.April 6–10: Barn swallows carve the warming sky.April 11–15: Magnolia blooms and falls in a breath.April 16–20: First rainbows arch over thunderheads.April 21–25: Reeds push through marsh water.April 26–30: Frost retreats; seedlings rise free.May 1–5: Warblers flood the canopy in waves.May 6–10: Tulip poplar lights the forest crown.May 11–15: Shad pulse upstream through rapids.May 16–20: Roses open on the Piedmont edge.May 21–25: Fireflies scout the humid dusk.May 26–31: Frog choruses rise from every wetland.June 1–5: Fireflies pulse through the magnolias.June 6–10: Kudzu climbs deeper into green.June 11–15: Sun climbs to its northern throne.June 16–20: Heat settles and the rain begins.June 21–25: The longest day turns toward shadow.June 26–30: Fireflies drift through Spanish moss.July 1–5: Cicadas claim the scorching afternoon.July 6–10: Thunderheads boil and break at dusk.July 11–15: Thunder builds each drowsy afternoon.July 16–20: Cicadas claim the long noon.July 21–25: Dog days drape the earth in haze.July 26–31: Katydids begin their rasping chorus.August 1–5: Dusk arrives one minute earlier each night.August 6–10: Meteorological summer's turning page.August 11–15: Cool winds gather at the margins.August 16–20: Dog-day cicadas rise.August 21–25: Heat breaks in creek beds.August 26–31: Monarchs gather strength.September 1–5: Harvests begin in earnest.September 6–10: Dew beads on resurrection fern.September 11–15: Raptors trail the thermals.September 16–20: Day and dark find balance.September 21–25: Thunder quiets the land.September 26–30: Insects retreat below.October 1–5: Swamp waters recede.October 6–10: Maples ignite the ridge.October 11–15: Asters crown the meadows.October 16–20: Crickets sing at dusk.October 21–25: Frost paints the garden.October 26–31: Light rains whisper down.November 1–5: Sweetgum Turns Crimson.November 6–10: Camellia Blooms Break Through.November 11–15: Earth Stiffens Underfoot.November 16–20: Bare Limbs Hold the Light.November 21–25: First Frost Grips the High Ground.November 26–30: North Wind Strips the Last Leaves.December 1–5: Darkness Falls Before Dinner.December 6–10: Winter Locks the Land.December 11–15: Wildlife Retreats to Shelter.December 16–20: Ice Edges Deepen Inward.December 21–25: The Sun Begins its Return.December 26–31: The Year Turns in Silence.🌱February 14 — First skunk-cabbage spathes thaw their way up☀️March 20 — Spring equinox — day and night balance🌸April 5 — Cherry blossoms peak in the parks🐦May 10 — Warbler migration peaks along the coast✨May 25 — First fireflies scout the meadows at dusk🌞June 21 — Summer solstice — longest day🦗July 25 — Peak cicada chorus in the afternoons🌊August 18 — Warmest sea-surface temperatures of the year🍂September 22 — Autumn equinox — the slow turn❄️October 25 — First widespread frost in the suburbs🍁November 10 — Peak leaf color across the Hudson Valley🌙December 21 — Winter solstice — longest night

Microseason · June 11–15

Sun climbs to its northern throne

Days lengthen toward solstice; longest light lingers until after 8 PM, heat building steadily.

Day 166 of 365 · Wedge 33 of 72

The solar year drawn as a wheel of 72 five-day windows. Each wedge is one microseason; the four colored arcs mark winter, spring, summer, and autumn; the small icons sit at notable phenological events. The crimson pointer creeps clockwise as the year turns.

Planting calendar

MonthPlantHarvest
January——
Februarylettuce, peas, spinach, radishes—
Marchlettuce, peas, spinach, radishes, tomatoes, peppers, beans, squash—
Apriltomatoes, peppers, beans, squash—
Maytomatoes, peppers, beans, squashlettuce, peas, radishes
June—lettuce, peas, radishes
July—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
August—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
September—tomatoes, beans, summer squash
Octoberfall brassicas, garlic (overwinter), carrotswinter squash, tomatoes (last)
Novemberfall brassicas, garlic (overwinter), carrots—
December——

A year in weather

Carrollwood peaks at about 84°F in August and bottoms near 62°F in January; August brings the heaviest rain (9.0 inches) and November the least (1.4 inches).

MonthMean tempPrecipRainy days
January62°2.6″4
February65°2.6″4
March69°2.5″3
April74°2.5″3
May80°2.6″4
June83°7.4″10
July84°7.8″11
August84°9.0″11
September83°6.1″8
October77°2.3″4
November70°1.4″2
December65°2.6″4

Regional context

Per NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 normals, Carrollwood runs from a 62°F January mean to 84°F in July, a 22°F seasonal spread, with near 49.5 inches of precipitation across about 69 wet days.

Summer convection drives Carrollwood's precipitation: August logs 9.0 inches on 11.2 rainy days, against November's 1.4 inches on 2.3 — warm-season storms carry Carrollwood's moisture. That puts Carrollwood in a summer-convective cohort with places like Egypt Lake-Leto, FL, Lake Magdalene, FL and Citrus Park, FL.

Hard freezes are rare in Carrollwood: the coldest month averages 62°F, so Carrollwood's growing window runs most of the year. August is the hottest stretch near 84°F, pushing cool-season crops to the milder shoulder months. Within Carrollwood, low or inland lots lose 3-5°F overnight versus Carrollwood's coastal ground.

Similar climates: Egypt Lake-Leto, FL, Lake Magdalene, FL, Citrus Park, FL, Northdale, FL, Town 'n' Country, FL.

Frequently asked

When does it freeze in Carrollwood?
Carrollwood's last spring frost lands near mid-February, and in Carrollwood the first fall frost follows around mid-December.
What is the rainy season in Carrollwood?
Rainfall in Carrollwood peaks in August near 9.0 inches, out of about 49 inches annually.
What is the warmest month in Carrollwood?
The warmest stretch in Carrollwood comes in August, around 84°F on average.
What is the coldest month in Carrollwood?
On average January is the chilliest month in Carrollwood, about 62°F.
When can I start a vegetable garden in Carrollwood?
Time tomatoes in Carrollwood for two weeks after mid-February; peas and greens start at Carrollwood's frost line.
How many rainy days does Carrollwood get?
Expect roughly 69 wet days a year in Carrollwood.
What hardiness zone is Carrollwood?
Carrollwood sits in the USDA zone set by January lows near 62°F; the USDA ZIP tool gives the band.
What is the 10-day forecast for Carrollwood?
Carrollwood's extended outlook — daily high and low temperatures and precipitation chances for each upcoming day — is in the daily forecast above.
Will it rain this week in Carrollwood?
See this week's day-by-day rain chances for Carrollwood in the daily forecast above, and the next 24 hours in the hourly chart.
What is the weather like right now in Carrollwood?
Current conditions for Carrollwood and the next 24 hours — temperature, precipitation chance, and wind by the hour — are in the hourly forecast chart above.
How often is the Carrollwood forecast updated?
The Carrollwood forecast on this page is built from Open-Meteo weather-model data and refreshes regularly through the day.
When are sunrise and sunset in Carrollwood?
Day length in Carrollwood peaks around the June solstice — earliest sunrise and latest sunset — and is shortest near the December solstice.
How accurate is the weather forecast for Carrollwood?
The next few days in Carrollwood's forecast are the most reliable; accuracy declines beyond about a week as weather-model uncertainty grows.

Climate

Carrollwood, Florida has a humid subtropical climate: January averages roughly 62°F, July about 84°F, 22°F between them.

Rain and snow bring Carrollwood roughly 49 inches a year across approximately 69 measurable-precipitation days.

At 28.1°N, Carrollwood's 22°F summer-to-winter swing sets when Carrollwood's gardens wake and when frost returns.

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ZIP codes in Carrollwood

  • 33624
  • 33618
  • 33688

Climate normals from the Open-Meteo Climate API. Köppen approximation from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Regions. See methodology for data sources, editorial rules, and corrections. Maintainer: Brian Tighe.